Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.390495 0.424614 0.461496 0.504525 0.553601 0.608132 0.673731
2025-11-09 0.327557 0.373687 0.427234 0.494797 0.578957 0.681992 0.820365
2025-11-16 0.289990 0.341170 0.403415 0.486250 0.596105 0.740690 0.952541
2025-11-23 0.263726 0.317488 0.385222 0.479183 0.610234 0.793467 1.083256
2025-11-30 0.249260 0.306353 0.380634 0.487745 0.644539 0.877326 1.275866
2025-12-07 0.233817 0.292085 0.369853 0.485564 0.661883 0.937463 1.443929
2025-12-14 0.220703 0.279606 0.359986 0.482954 0.677264 0.995851 1.622972
2025-12-21 0.206539 0.264500 0.344968 0.470783 0.675450 1.024422 1.752574
2025-12-28 0.200960 0.260869 0.345867 0.482537 0.713462 1.128439 2.067607
2026-01-04 0.194561 0.255528 0.343673 0.488937 0.742897 1.221949 2.394656
2026-01-11 0.187309 0.248422 0.338196 0.489293 0.761402 1.297397 2.708966
2026-01-18 0.178455 0.238414 0.327548 0.479983 0.760836 1.333187 2.933004
2026-01-25 0.169433 0.227920 0.315851 0.468531 0.756092 1.362017 3.161308
2026-02-01 0.161653 0.218958 0.306096 0.459757 0.755797 1.401833 3.450598
2026-02-08 0.154757 0.210984 0.297404 0.452066 0.756623 1.444571 3.777787
2026-02-15 0.148689 0.203976 0.289834 0.445703 0.759297 1.492521 4.158939
2026-02-22 0.145840 0.201816 0.290013 0.453411 0.792469 1.626547 5.005384
2026-03-01 0.141374 0.196874 0.285251 0.451448 0.804368 1.706991 5.696839
2026-03-08 0.137147 0.192113 0.280509 0.449098 0.815068 1.787219 6.485485
2026-03-15 0.131697 0.185157 0.271667 0.438135 0.804609 1.802336 6.924187
2026-03-22 0.130257 0.184608 0.273763 0.448723 0.846186 1.990861 8.791110
2026-03-29 0.128089 0.182760 0.273471 0.454484 0.877014 2.156279 10.903431
2026-04-05 0.125188 0.179576 0.270638 0.454804 0.894282 2.281470 13.041062